Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
noviembre 12, 2026 at 22:00 · Santiago de las Atalayas
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Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off noviembre 12, 2026 at 22:00 at Santiago de las Atalayas. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.36), 85% confidence.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali Preview
Deportivo Pereira host America de Cali in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 19) on jueves 12 noviembre 2026, kick-off 22:00 GMT+0100 at Santiago de las Atalayas in Yopal.
Deportivo Pereira are 17th in the table with 17 points from 18 games (3-8-7), while America de Cali sit 2nd on 36 points. America de Cali have a 19-point advantage. At home Deportivo Pereira have won 2 of 9; America de Cali have won 3 of 8 on the road.
Deportivo Pereira have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-L-L), averaging 1,6 goals scored and 1,6 conceded. America de Cali have two wins and three draws in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-D-D), averaging 1,2 goals scored and 0,6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Deportivo Pereira have won 2, America de Cali 4, with 0 draws and an average of 2,3 goals per game. The most recent, in septiembre 2026, finished America de Cali 4-1 Deportivo Pereira.
Deportivo Pereira average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 17 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2. America de Cali average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 18 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Y. Guzmán leads America de Cali's scoring with 20 goals and 6 assists.
Bookmakers make America de Cali the favourites: Deportivo Pereira 4.75, draw 3.60, America de Cali 1.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.73, no 2.00.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2,4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2,3 goals and recent form points to 2,5 goals a game.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +19 | 36 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -10 | 17 |
Season stats
| Deportivo Pereira | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 37 | 39 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 4 / 15 / 18 | 20 / 10 / 9 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 31 (0.8) | 57 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 58 (1.6) | 32 (0.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 18 |
| Failed to score | 17 | 9 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 4 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 7-0 |
| Usual formation | 5-3-2 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- Y. Guzmán 20 goals · 6 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0,81 – 1,22 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 94/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira win | 24,6% | 19,9% | 4,75 | +16.8% |
| Draw | 29,7% | 26,2% | 3,60 | +6.9% |
| America de Cali win | 45,7% | 53,9% | 1,75 | -20.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 54,3% | 46,1% | 2,00 | +8.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 75,4% | 80,1% | 1,18 | -11.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60,2% | 75,0% | 1,25 | -24.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33,2% | 52,6% | 1,80 | -40.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66,8% | 47,4% | 2,00 | +33.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85,2% | 68,8% | 1,36 | +15.8% |
| Both teams to score | 39,1% | 53,6% | 1,73 | -32.3% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 11 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2,4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2,3 goals and recent form points to 2,5 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Deportivo Pereira
WDWLL
1,6 scored · 1,6 conceded per game
America de Cali
DWWDD
1,2 scored · 0,6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Deportivo Pereira wins 0 draws 4 America de Cali wins last 6 meetings
- America de Cali4 - 1Deportivo Pereira Copa Colombia
- America de Cali1 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira2 - 1America de Cali Primera A
- America de Cali2 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- America de Cali1 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira2 - 0America de Cali Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
