Montpellier vs Metz
France Ligue 2
Montpellier
Metz
noviembre 6, 2026 at 20:00 · Stade de la Mosson
Upcoming
Montpellier vs Metz prediction and betting tip for this France Ligue 2 match, kicking off noviembre 6, 2026 at 20:00 at Stade de la Mosson. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.29), 81% confidence.
- Home Win Upcoming
Montpellier vs Metz Preview
Montpellier host Metz in the France Ligue 2 (matchday 12) on viernes 6 noviembre 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at Stade de la Mosson in Montpellier. Eddy Rosier is the referee.
Montpellier are 2nd in the table with 24 points from 11 games (7-3-1), while Metz sit 10th on 14 points. Montpellier have a 10-point advantage. At home Montpellier have won 3 of 5; Metz have won 0 of 5 on the road.
Montpellier have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-W-W), averaging 2,2 goals scored and 0,4 conceded. Metz have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-D-L), averaging 1,8 goals scored and 2,4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Montpellier have won 4, Metz 1, with 1 draw and an average of 2,8 goals per game. The most recent, in enero 2026, finished Metz 0-4 Montpellier.
Montpellier average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Metz average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: N. Pays leads Montpellier's scoring with 5 goals and 2 assists; P. Fall leads Metz's scoring with 8 goals.
Bookmakers make Montpellier the favourites: Montpellier 1.85, draw 3.40, Metz 3.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Montpellier or draw (1X). The model gives Montpellier or a draw a 90% chance, Montpellier have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 8 places above Metz.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
Season stats
| Montpellier | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 7 / 3 / 1 | 3 / 5 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 16 (1.5) | 17 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 6 (0.5) | 17 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- N. Pays 5 goals · 2 assists
- Lacine Megnan-Pave 4 goals · 2 assists
- P. Fall 8 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1,64 – 0,84 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 76/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 56,4% |
| Draw | 24,6% |
| Metz win | 19,1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 80,9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 43,6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70,8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45,0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55,0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76,3% |
| Both teams to score | 45,7% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 16:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Montpellier or draw (1X) — The model gives Montpellier or a draw a 90% chance, Montpellier have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 8 places above Metz.
Form (last 5)
Montpellier
DWWWW
2,2 scored · 0,4 conceded per game
Metz
DLWDL
1,8 scored · 2,4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Montpellier wins 1 draws 1 Metz wins last 6 meetings
- Metz0 - 4Montpellier Coupe de France
- Montpellier3 - 0Metz Ligue 1
- Metz0 - 1Montpellier Ligue 1
- Montpellier2 - 2Metz Ligue 1
- Metz1 - 3Montpellier Ligue 1
- Metz1 - 0Montpellier Friendlies Clubs
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
